Putin's Crimea Blunder by Joshua Rovner: Rovner argues that Putin has made a long term blunder. As he puts it:
Putin has not outwitted anyone. He has not taken advantage of feckless Western leaders to expand Russian power and prestige, nor has he set in motion a pattern of events that has put the international order at risk. What he has done is drive headlong into a crisis where all of the likely outcomes for Russia are bad.How the Ukraine Crisis Ends by Henry Kissinger: As I previously noted, Charles Krauthammer quoted Kissinger quite a bit in arguing that Obama's lack of action enabled Putin;s intervention and that Obama needs to be more forceful. Interestingly, but perhaps not surprisingly, Kissinger has a different view:
Far too often the Ukrainian issue is posed as a showdown: whether Ukraine joins the East or the West. But if Ukraine is to survive and thrive, it must not be either side’s outpost against the other — it should function as a bridge between them.Primer on Ukraine's Economic Troubles by Tim Taylor: The Conversable Economist analyzes Ukraine's underlying economic situation.
Is Crimean independence or annexation a good outcome for Russia? by Helena Yakovlev-Golani and Nadiya Kravets: The authors argue that annexation or independence of Crimea would be bad for Russia in the long run.
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